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Anyone who has looked at new homes on the Costa del Sol recently will recognise the pattern: a well-placed project launches, the best apartments are reserved within weeks, and the next phase comes out at a higher price. It can feel as if the market is running away from you. The figures show why – and, more usefully, what you can do about it.

Demand is running well ahead of supply

According to Savills’ Obra Nueva Costa del Sol 2025/26 study, more than 12,000 new-build homes were sold on the Costa del Sol in 2025 (12,265, as reported by Qué! and Euro Weekly News). At the same time, the available new-build stock stood at just 5,328 homes. The two figures are not a like-for-like comparison – one is a full year of sales, the other a snapshot of what is on the market – but together they show how quickly new supply is absorbed.

Savills also notes that some well-positioned developments sell 30–50% of their homes before construction even starts. For buyers, that means the widest choice of layouts, floors and views is often available only at the very beginning of a project.

Why so few new homes are being built

The short answer is land and time. Ready-to-build plots in good coastal locations are scarce, and turning planned land into homes takes years of planning procedures.

A separate Savills study, Visión Málaga, reported by idealista in October 2026, puts numbers on the bottleneck in Málaga city. Almost 30,000 homes are planned in the city’s main development areas over the next decade, 12,579 of them protected (affordable) homes. Yet only about 10% of the land currently going through the planning process could be built on within five years, and 45–50% within ten years even in a very favourable scenario. Savills estimates that faster procedures could add 8,000–10,000 homes. Meanwhile, INE projections cited by Savills point to the population of Málaga province growing by around 254,000 people – more than the planned homes could house.

Where the new homes are

New supply is concentrated in a handful of towns. Savills found that Estepona accounts for 28% of the coast’s initial new-build supply, Mijas Costa for 18% and Fuengirola for 16%. International buyers make up more than half of new-build demand in Marbella, Mijas Costa and Fuengirola.

For buyers who are flexible on location, that is where most of the choice is – Estepona alone accounts for more than a quarter of new supply. You can browse current options on our Projects in Estepona page or across the whole coast on our new developments search.

What it means for prices

Savills puts the average price of new-build apartments on the Costa del Sol at €5,725 per m² at the end of 2025 – up 23% on the year, as reported by Qué! and Euro Weekly News – and new detached homes at around €6,379 per m². These are averages across all new builds on the coast, from compact apartments to large villas, and they are pulled upwards by prime projects: according to the same reports, luxury new-build apartments in Marbella average over €8,000 per m², about 41% above the coast-wide average. The average new-build apartment on the coast now costs just over €1 million and the average new detached home around €2.97 million, according to the same reports – again reflecting a supply that leans towards the top end, with prime and super-prime homes making up around 14% of new-build supply. Equally, many good-quality homes in towns such as Fuengirola, Mijas or Manilva are priced well below the headline figure.

Looking ahead, Savills’ Costa del Sol 2026–2027 outlook projects cumulative increases of 13–16% in residual land values (valores de repercusión – the land cost built into the price of each new home) over 2026 and 2027. Some press reports have described this as a forecast for new-build prices; strictly, it refers to land. Because land is a large part of what a new home costs, it points to continued upward pressure on new-build prices – but not equally in every town or development. A fair reading is continued, selective growth, strongest in the best locations and best-designed projects, rather than a guarantee for every purchase.

How to buy well in a tight market

Most of all, work with someone who knows the developers and hears about launches early. Speak to a Mosaic advisor about what is coming up in the areas you like, or download our free 2026 Buyers Guide to plan your purchase step by step.

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Pioneering Projects in Casares: New Developments in One of the Coast’s Most Scenic Settings

SEPTEMBER 2026

New-build development in Casares has followed a distinct trajectory to the rest of the coast: rather than dense apartment blocks, it has clustered around golf and scenery, producing some of the most architecturally ambitious low-density schemes currently under construction anywhere on the Costa del Sol.

For buyers considering new build here, the current pipeline is worth understanding in detail.

“Casares isn’t building density. It’s building destinations.”

Development Clustered Around Golf and Views

New developments in Casares are concentrated primarily around the area’s two golf courses — Doña Julia and the championship course at Finca Cortesín — with contemporary architecture, communal pools, landscaped grounds and, in the majority of cases, sea or mountain views built into the design from the outset. This is a market shaped by scenery and lifestyle rather than urban density.

Finca Cortesín: Branded Luxury at the Top of the Market

At the resort’s most exclusive tier, current schemes include boutique communities such as Las Albercas, with asking prices from around €2.495 million for three-bedroom units, offering residents a dedicated clubhouse, indoor and outdoor pools, a full spa circuit and 24-hour security, alongside exclusive privileges across the wider Finca Cortesín estate — its golf course, restaurants and five-star hotel.

“Off-plan pricing at a resort with this level of pedigree is genuinely rare — most reach this stature only after every unit has already sold.”

A Broader Range of Entry Points

Beyond the resort’s top tier, Casares Costa offers a wider spread of new-build opportunity, from modern apartment communities near Casares del Sol to smaller boutique developments closer to the beach — giving buyers a genuine range of entry prices while still benefiting from the area’s golf-course setting and mountain-to-sea views.

What New Build Offers Here

As with new build anywhere in Spain, every stage payment made before completion must be secured by a bank guarantee, and completed properties carry a ten-year structural warranty. In Casares specifically, that legal protection comes paired with a design standard — and a setting — that is genuinely difficult to replicate elsewhere on the coast.

Want to See What’s Being Built in Casares?

We track live off-plan releases across Casares Costa and Finca Cortesín and can arrange early access before public launch.

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New Residential Projects in Fuengirola: Contemporary Living with a Village Soul

SEPTEMBER 2026

New build in Fuengirola operates under a genuine constraint that shapes the entire market: there simply isn’t much land left. That scarcity has turned new-build launches here into closely watched events rather than routine listings, and it has kept pricing moving in one direction for several years running.

For buyers considering off-plan in Fuengirola, understanding that dynamic is the place to start.

“New build in Fuengirola isn’t abundant. That’s precisely what makes it worth paying attention to.”

A Market Defined by Scarcity

With the town’s most desirable stretches — the seafront, the centre, Los Boliches — largely built out, new-build schemes have become genuinely limited, concentrated in the remaining developable pockets and at the northern edge near Carvajal, where newer stock already commands the municipality’s highest prices at over €5,200 per square metre.

Why Prices Have Moved So Quickly

The combination of genuinely constrained new supply and strong, diversified international demand pushed asking prices to roughly €4,650 per square metre by late 2025 — up 17–19% in a single year — a pace that reflects real scarcity rather than speculative pricing, and one that has continued into 2026.

“Scarcity doesn’t just support prices. In Fuengirola, right now, it’s actively driving them.”

What New Build Offers Here

As with new build anywhere in Spain, every stage payment made before completion must be secured by a bank guarantee, and completed properties carry a ten-year structural warranty and three-year warranty on major installations — protections that carry particular weight in a market where new stock is genuinely limited and buyer competition for it is correspondingly strong.

Why Timing Matters

With Fuengirola’s structural shift towards long-term residents strengthening underlying demand, and remaining developable land continuing to shrink, buyers securing new-build units at current pre-completion pricing are positioning themselves ahead of a scarcity dynamic that shows no obvious sign of easing.

Want to See What’s Currently Available Off-Plan in Fuengirola?

We track live new-build releases across the municipality and can arrange early access before public launch.

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